2028 Northern Territory general election

The 2028 Northern Territory general election will be held on 26 August 2028 to elect all 25 members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament.[1] Members will be elected through full preferential instant-runoff voting in single-member electorates. The election will be conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (NTEC).

Background

This will be the second election for the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly where both major political parties are led by women, and the fourth in any Australian state or territory, after the 1995 ACT election, 2020 Queensland election and 2024 Northern Territory election.

Previous election

At the 2024 election, the Labor government led by Chief Minister Eva Lawler was defeated by Lia Finocchiaro's Country Liberal Party, who won 17 of the 25 seats in the parliament. Labor was reduced to 4 seats, whilst the NT Greens won their first seat and a further 3 seats were won by independents.

Redistribution

A redistribution will take place during the term of the parliament.[2]

Election date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms, with elections to be held on the fourth Saturday of August every four years.[3]

Pendulum

Post-election pendulum

Results as of 17:30 AEST, 4 September. Not final.

Government seats (17)
Marginal
Fannie Bay Laurie Zio CLP 0.4 v GRN
Casuarina Khoda Patel CLP 0.8
Barkly Steve Edgington CLP 1.8
Blain Matthew Kerle CLP 2.0 v IND
Sanderson Jinson Charls CLP 2.2
Braitling Joshua Burgoyne CLP 3.9 v GRN
Fairly safe
Fong Lim Tanzil Rahman CLP 7.4
Wanguri Oly Carlson CLP 9.0
Safe
Karama Brian O'Gallagher CLP 11.4
Namatjira Bill Yan CLP 11.5
Port Darwin Robyn Cahill CLP 11.7
Katherine Jo Hersey CLP 12.1 v IND
Goyder Andrew Mackay CLP 12.6 v IND
Drysdale Clinton Howe CLP 14.9
Brennan Marie-Clare Boothby CLP 23.9
Nelson Gerard Maley CLP 25.0 v IND
Spillett Lia Finocchiaro CLP 29.5
Opposition seats (4)
Marginal
Daly Dheran Young ALP 2.5
Safe
Arnhem Selena Uibo ALP 14.4
Gwoja Chansey Paech ALP 16.0
Arafura Manuel Brown ALP 19.7
Crossbench seats (4)
Nightcliff Kat McNamara GRN 0.5 v ALP
Johnston Justine Davis IND 7.7 v CLP
Araluen Robyn Lambley IND 14.7 v CLP
Mulka Yingiya Mark Guyula IND 25.4 v CLP

Opinion polling

Voting intention

Date Firm Primary vote TPP
CLP ALP IND GRN OTH CLP ALP
2024 election 49.0% 28.7% 14.2% 8.1% 58.0% 42.0%

References

  1. ^ Government, Northern Territory (2023-06-15). "Timetable". ntec.nt.gov.au. Retrieved 2024-09-09.
  2. ^ Government, Northern Territory (2023-10-11). "Legislative Assembly redistribution". ntec.nt.gov.au. Retrieved 2024-09-09.
  3. ^ "So when is the next election?". Aph.gov.au. 2016-09-01. Retrieved 2017-09-28.
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