2024 Saxony state election
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All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 2,367,699 (74.4%) 8.2 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results for the single-member constituencies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Saxony state election was held on 1 September 2024 to elect members to the 8th Landtag of Saxony. It was held on the same day as the 2024 Thuringian state election.[1] Going into the election, the state government was led by Michael Kretschmer of the CDU as Minister-President, in a coalition with the Greens and the SPD.
The CDU remained the largest party with slight losses, followed closely by the Alternative for Germany (AfD). The SPD remained steady while the Greens fell to just over 5% of the vote; the incumbent coalition lost its majority. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance ran for the first time and won 12% and fifteen seats. The Left fell below the 5% electoral threshold but retained its seats after winning two direct constituencies. The Free Voters (FW) elected a single member after lead candidate Matthias Berger won the constituency of Leipzig-Land III.[2][3]
Background
The 2019 election was marked by high gains for the Alternative for Germany (AfD), which gained almost 28 percent of the vote and became the second strongest force. After losses, the CDU ended up with almost 32 percent as the strongest party ahead of the AfD. The Left and the SPD received 10.4 and 7.7 percent of the vote, respectively. The Greens increased and achieved their best result in a state election in Saxony with 8.6 percent, the Free Democratic Party (FDP) again missed entering parliament with 4.5 percent.
Parties and lists
| Abbreviation | Party | Result 2019 | Direct candidates | Applicants on the state list | 1st place on the national list |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | 32.1% | 60 | 78 | Michael Kretschmer |
| AfD | Alternative for Germany | 27.5% | 60 | 75 | Jörg Urban |
| Left | The Left | 10.4% | 60 | 47 | Susanne Schaper |
| Green | Alliance 90/The Greens | 8.6% | 60 | 30 | Katja Meier |
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany | 7.7% | 60 | 54 | Petra Köpping |
| FDP | Free Democratic Party | 4.5% | 60 | 48 | Robert Malorny |
| Free Voters | Free Voters | 3.4% | 59 | 33 | Matthias Berger |
| The Party | Die PARTEI | 1.6% | 3 | 9 | Sabine Kuechler |
| Pirates | Pirate Party Germany | 0.3% | – | 9 | Stephanie Henkel |
| ÖDP | Ecological Democratic Party | 0.3% | 2 | 11 | Jonas Bialon |
| BüSo | Civil Rights Movement Solidarity | 0.1% | 4 | 12 | Michael Gründler |
| Animal protection here! | Action Party for Animal Welfare | – | – | 3 | Uwe Werner |
| Die Basis | Grassroots Democratic Party of Germany | – | 3 | 11 | David Murcek |
| Alliance C | Alliance C – Christians for Germany | – | – | 7 | Thomas Lamowski |
| Alliance Germany | Alliance Germany | – | 3 | 16 | Steffen Grosse |
| BSW | Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | – | 39 | 30 | Sabine Zimmermann |
| Free Saxons | Free Saxons | – | 35 | 30 | Martin Kohlmann |
| V-Party³ | V-Partei³ – Party for Change, Vegetarians and Vegans | – | – | 4 | Simone Schwarzbach |
| WU | Values Union | – | 5 | 7 | Heiko Petzold |
| Other | – | 13 | – |
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
Party polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | AfD | Linke | Grüne | SPD | FDP | FW | BSW | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 state election | 1 Sep 2024 | – | 31.9 | 30.6 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26–31 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 31 | 3 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 13.5 | 8 | 2 |
| Forsa | 27–29 Aug 2024 | 1,012 | 33 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 7 | – | – | 12 | 8 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–29 Aug 2024 | 1,973 | 33 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | – | 12 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 19–23 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–22 Aug 2024 | 1,028 | 33 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 7 | – | – | 11 | 9 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 19–21 Aug 2024 | 1,566 | 31 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 7 | – | – | 14 | 8 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10–18 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 34.5 | 30 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 1 | – | 14 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| Forsa | 7–14 Aug 2024 | 1,041 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 6 | – | – | 13 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 5–12 Aug 2024 | 1,500 | 29 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–8 Aug 2024 | 1,003 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | – | 11 | 9 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–18 Jun 2024 | 1,157 | 29 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 7 | – | – | 15 | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 10–17 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | – | 15 | 7 | 2 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | – | 21.8 | 31.8 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 11.3 | 10 |
| Civey | 19 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | 3,002 | 31 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | – | 10 | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 11–18 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6–15 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 31.5 | 31 | 3 | 6.5 | 6 | 1.5 | – | 13.5 | 7 | 0.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–23 Jan 2024 | 1,177 | 30 | 35 | 4 | 7 | 7 | – | – | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| Forsa | 7–10 Jan 2024 | 1,507 | 30 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–9 Jan 2024 | 970 | 33.5 | 32 | 8.5 | 7 | 6 | 2.5 | – | – | 10 | 1.5 |
| 30.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2 | – | 15.5 | 6.5 | 2 | |||
| Civey | 18 Dec – 1 Jan 2024 | 3,004 | 33 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | – | 11 | 4 |
| Civey | 19 Nov – 3 Dec 2023 | 3,002 | 33 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | – | 8 | Tie |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Oct – 7 Nov 2023 | 1,173 | 28.5 | 32.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 13.5 | 4 |
| 27.5 | 31 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | 14.5 | 11 | 3.5 | |||
| INSA | 11–22 Aug 2023 | 1,500 | 29 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 9 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–12 Jun 2023 | 1,558 | 30 | 32.5 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 5 | – | – | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 16–28 May 2023 | 987 | 31 | 32 | 9.5 | 7 | 9.5 | 4 | – | – | 7 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Dec 2022 | 1,020 | 29.5 | 31 | 8 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 8 | 1.5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 17–19 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 9 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–15 Jun 2022 | 1,204 | 35 | 28 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 8 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–16 May 2022 | 1,023 | 33 | 27 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 12 | 4 | – | – | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 1–6 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | 25 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 3 | – | 7 | 3 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,100 | 29 | 26.5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 5 | – | – | 9.5 | 2.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 17–22 Feb 2022 | 1,178 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 3 | – | 8 | 3 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5–12 Oct 2021 | 1,002 | 22 | 25.5 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 10 | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 17.2 | 24.6 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 19.3 | 11.0 | 2.3 | – | 7.7 | 5.3 |
| INSA | 6–13 Sep 2021 | 1,000 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 8 | – | – | 6 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Aug 2021 | 1,179 | 35 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | – | 6 | 14 |
| INSA | 2–9 Aug 2021 | 1,001 | 34 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 8 | – | – | 5 | 9 |
| INSA | 18–25 May 2021 | 1,000 | 24 | 26 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 12 | – | – | 8 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 9–17 Dec 2020 | – | 40 | 30 | 9.5 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | – | – | 4 | 10 |
| INSA | 1–15 Dec 2020 | 1,008 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 5 | – | – | 7 | 8 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Aug – 3 Sep 2020 | – | 38 | 27.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – | 4 | 10.5 |
| INSA | 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2020 | 1,020 | 36 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | – | 6 | 10 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–9 Jun 2020 | – | 40 | 26 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | – | 6 | 14 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–5 Apr 2020 | – | 36.5 | 29 | 9 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 4 | 1.5 | – | 5 | 7.5 |
| 2019 state election | 1 Sep 2019 | – | 32.1 | 27.5 | 10.4 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 3.4 | – | 5.8 | 4.6 |
Minister-President polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | None/ Unsure | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kretschmer CDU | Urban AfD | Chrupalla AfD | Gebhardt Linke | Günther Grüne | Dulig SPD | Zimmermann BSW | |||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–29 Aug 2024 | 1,973 | 70 | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | 15 | 55 |
| INSA | 19–23 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 18 | – | – | – | – | – | 37 | 27 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–22 Aug 2024 | 1,028 | 68 | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | 19 | 55 |
| Infratest dimap | 19–21 Aug 2024 | 1,566 | 58 | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | 22 | 38 |
| Forsa | 7–14 Aug 2024 | 1,041 | 50 | 14 | – | – | – | – | 2 | 34 | 36 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–8 Aug 2024 | 1,003 | 64 | 14 | – | – | – | – | – | 22 | 50 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–18 Jun 2024 | 1,157 | 58 | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | 25 | 41 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–9 Jan 2024 | 970 | 56 | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | 21 | 33 |
| 56 | – | 29 | – | – | – | – | 15 | 27 | |||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Oct – 7 Nov 2023 | 1,173 | 57 | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | 17 | 31 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 8–12 Jun 2023 | 1,558 | 45 | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | 34 | 24 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Dec 2022 | 1,020 | 39 | 24 | – | 4 | 3 | 9 | – | 21 | 15 |
Results
 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Party-list | Constituency | Total seats | +/– | |||||
| Votes | % | Seats | Votes | % | Seats | ||||
| Christian Democratic Union | 749,216 | 31.91 | 14 | 805,231 | 34.43 | 27 | 41 |  3 | |
| Alternative for Germany | 719,274 | 30.63 | 12 | 794,176 | 33.96 | 28 | 40 | 3 | |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 277,173 | 11.81 | 15 | 148,350 | 6.34 | 0 | 15 | New | |
| Social Democratic Party | 172,002 | 7.33 | 10 | 144,407 | 6.17 | 0 | 10 | 1 | |
| Alliance 90/The Greens | 119,964 | 5.11 | 5 | 119,016 | 5.09 | 2 | 7 | 6 | |
| The Left | 104,888 | 4.47 | 4 | 149,120 | 6.38 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Free Voters | 53,008 | 2.26 | 0 | 113,042 | 4.83 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Free Saxons | 52,195 | 2.22 | 0 | 12,771 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 |  0 | |
| Action Party for Animal Welfare | 23,576 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Free Democratic Party | 21,003 | 0.89 | 0 | 33,644 | 1.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Die PARTEI | 19,870 | 0.85 | 0 | 2,607 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pirate Party | 6,842 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Bündnis Deutschland | 6,753 | 0.29 | 0 | 972 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | New | |
| Values Union | 6,469 | 0.28 | 0 | 1,819 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | New | |
| Grassroots Democratic Party of Germany | 4,483 | 0.19 | 0 | 702 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | New | |
| Alliance C | 4,368 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| V-Partei3 | 3,286 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Ecological Democratic Party | 1,966 | 0.08 | 0 | 322 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Civil Rights Movement Solidarity | 1,580 | 0.07 | 0 | 752 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team Zastrow | 6,984 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Solutions for our region | 2,152 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Party of Progress | 248 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| We Are Leipzig | 382 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Independents | 2,038 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Total | 2,347,916 | 100.00 | 60 | 2,338,735 | 100.00 | 60 | 120 | – | |
| Valid votes | 2,347,916 | 99.16 | 2,338,735 | 98.78 | |||||
| Invalid/blank votes | 19,783 | 0.84 | 28,964 | 1.22 | |||||
| Total votes | 2,367,699 | 100.00 | 2,367,699 | 100.00 | |||||
| Registered voters/turnout | 3,181,013 | 74.43 | 3,181,013 | 74.43 | |||||
| Source: wahlen.sachsen.de | |||||||||
Aftermath
In the aftermath to the elections in both Thuringia and Saxony, Sahra Wagenknecht stated her preferences to go into a coalition with either the CDU and/or the SPD in an interview with ARD (broadcaster).[3]
References
- ^ "German elections: Far-right AfD on brink of political earthquake". BBC News. 30 August 2024. Archived from the original on 2 September 2024. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
- ^ Achterberg, Beatrice (2 September 2024). "Landtagswahlen 2024: Koalitionsmöglichkeiten in Sachsen und Thüringen". Neue Zürcher Zeitung (in Swiss High German). ISSN 0376-6829. Archived from the original on 2 September 2024. Retrieved 2 September 2024.
- ^ a b "Germany: Thuringia and Saxony elections propel far-right AfD". Deutsche Welle. 1 September 2024. Archived from the original on 2 September 2024. Retrieved 2 September 2024.
External links
Media related to 2024 Saxony state election at Wikimedia Commons
